There’s some things you just can’t change. Although there’s some people that believe we could use some chemtrails to prevent some rain this weekend, most of us will just accept the reality of rain and choose to do some skiing, or not.
- When that sun don’t shine gonna soggy up your spirit,
- Soggy up your spirit, it’ll hold you down. – Willy Tea Taylor from Lullaby
The early track for this system had it sliding over the top of the ridge and into Nevada. Those inside slider systems are notorious for bringing colder air and the potential for spring powders days. Unfortunately, the latest models are calling for a battle royale between the trough moving in from the Pacific and the ridge that has been parked over the western states for a week. The end result is a very slow moving system that is expected to bring very significant rain to the Tahoe basin from Thursday into Sunday.
Here’s the latest run of the GFS totals through Sunday, calling for up to 4 or 5 inches of precipitation in favored areas. What that means is some areas may see little rainfall, while others see heavy downpours.
Snow levels will not be very conducive to skiing and riding. With the low eventually ending up west of Las Vegas, we would see a southerly flow that brings warmer air from the south. The last forecast we saw for snow levels pretty much keeps them at 7500 feet or higher through the weekend. For complete details on the system, Daniel Swain at WeatherWest.com posted a good analysis of what to expect this morning.
So the last few days of the Alpine Meadows ski season are looking just a bit soggy. Will some people still be out there trying to make the best of it? We hope so. Maybe some employee will find a stash of those old plastic bag ponchos with the Alpine Meadows logo to hand out to skiers and riders this weekend. Maybe the clouds will part over Summit and we’ll have that sunny spring corn day that we see in our dreams.